Tuesday, April 03, 2007

Warriors playoff plan

In light of the bubble bursting on my dreams of the Warriors riding through the season on top of the table I have decided to revert to the tried and true state of perpetual worry and paranoia with my new dream the hope that the Warriors can be a certainty to make the top eight. Yes thats right - I am re-evaluating my expectations - making the playoffs is the first goal.

Last season there were 24 rounds of games and two byes for each team. So a total of 52 points were available. The eighth place Eels got 28 points. In 2007 there are 25 rounds and only one bye but still a total of 52 points available so probably 28 points should again be enough to make the eight. However to be sure lets say the Worriors need 30 points to be certain.

The Warriors have a bye in round 6 (21-23 April) for the Anzac test - so thats two points guaranteed plus they have won two of their first three games, so thats six points in the bag. Now they just need to go and get the other 24 points - 12 more wins from 22 remaining games. I have updated the status table in the right hand corner of the blog to indicate the wins needed for top eight certainty vs games remaining to be played. This will be a countdown throughout the season - if the Warriors are good enough this should not be a nail biter or an exercise in mathematical possibility, this should be a state of affairs where around round 20 we can safely say the Warriors are in the playoffs - go out and get it boys.

Tough game this weekend away - Manly have been on the up for a few years now - and these guys have produced some good results this year, in round 1 producing a 32-6 win over the Canberra Raiders, in round 2 beating the Tigers 19-8, and in round 3 delivering a 30-8 win against the Roosters to remain unbeaten. Cleary has opted to start Fien at hooker this week and lets hope this injects some renewed confidence and structure into the team. Key tip at this weeks training - try not to drop the ball, particularly in your own half. Overall I think the loss vs the Storm may have been good to cool the expectations and bring these players back to earth but they need to put on a performance this week.

We are headed to Valencia on Thursday for the Easter long weekend - will go and have a look at the Team NZ base and America's Cup Village and post some pics on the blog next week.

And finally on a non-sporting topic - lets hope for all our sakes that the 15 British navy personel get released soon.

No comments: